Monday, July 11, 2011

Home Run Derby Predictions

The home run derby means different things to different people.  For fans such as myself, it is an opportunity to sit back, relax, and enjoy watching the boys of summer sock some dingers.  For the snootier sports fan, it is an opportunity to look down on the masses who marvel at the sight of balls hit a long way.  For Prince Fielder, it is an opportunity to "beef up" with a couple of pre-derby cheeseburgers.  Here are some derby predictions:

Round 1:  Holliday, Matt: 4; Cano, Robinson: 5; Weeks, Rickie: 5; Gonzalez, Adrian: 8; Kemp, Matt: 4; Ortiz, David: 9; Fielder, Prince: 10; Bautista, Jose:9

Round 2: Gonzalez, Adrian: 6; Ortiz, David: 8; Bautista, Jose: 10; Fielder, Prince: 9

Round 3: Fielder, Prince: 8; Bautista, Jose: 9

Champion: Jose Bautista

Solid NHL UFA's Still(man) Available

While NHL teams prepare to open training camp, and most of the star unrestricted free agents (or should I say the only star UFA - Brad Richards) have been claimed, it is easy to overlook the fact that there are still some solid puzzle pieces left in the box.

Cory Stillman, at age 38, is unquestionably nearing the end of his NHL career; although we've been saying that for some time now.  A scoring winger, he had 16 points in 21 games finishing out the 2010-11 season with the Hurricanes.  To be effective he will need to find a home on a team where he will be assured a spot in the top six forwards.  For such a team needing a veteran presence on the second line, a salary in the range of $2M would be a bargain on a one or two year deal.

After skipping the 2011 World Championships to rest his knee, Vaclav Prospal is looking for a new contract.  With the Rangers having blown the bank on Brad Richards, it is doubtful they will extend an offer to Prospal.  If the Rangers do not reach out to him, expect Prospal to once again have the motivation to "stick it up somebody's butt" - of course referring again to John Tortorella.  This is a 36 year old veteran who can score, but mostly when put on a stacked line with at least one or two elite offensive talents.  I do not see Prospal having much value to a team, unless he can play alongside their top scorer on the first line.

Nikolay Zherdev the enigmatic Russian winger is anything but a solid pickup for an NHL team, as he has never put things together at the NHL level.  From day one, analysts have drooled over Zherdev, but after so many disappointing seasons of not living up to potential, one has to wonder if the break though will ever occur.  Some team will roll the dice on him.

Alex Kovalev is once again an unrestricted free agent.  Say what you want about him: he disappears in some games, he is old, has been overpaid in years past, his defense is suspect, but even the harshest critics cannot deny the slick hands and premier talent that this man possesses.  He will never be a first liner again, but at the right price (less than $2M on a one year deal) he would be a bargain and provide some secondary scoring.  He also has a Stanley Cup ring.

Bryan McCabe is not a popular name among Leafs fans, but imagine him reuniting with Tomas Kaberle in Carolina.  Combined with Joni Pitkanen, the trio could form one of the more potent threats from the back end in the Eastern conference.  Just remember Bryan, if you're going to take a shot on a goalie, make sure to check what team he is on first.

Home Run Derby Haiku

For all of you home run derby and haiku lovers out there:

Chris Berman's trademark
Repetitive but classic
Back, back, back, back, gone!

Derby fan's lament
Prince has gone mad with power
No Ryan Howard.

Cano can hit bombs
Most of them are in New York.
I can hit there too.

Manny and Papi
A charismatic duo
Which one took more drugs?

Fielder smacks dingers
Baseball's version of Popeye
Fast food his spinach.

Cause for confusion
One of nature's mysteries
Weeks in home run derby.

Joey Bats can hit
Pigeons on upper deck seats
A Bautista Bomb!

Please submit your Haiku's in the comment section!

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Someone Needs to Save the Jay's Bullpen

So just like that April 1st has turned into mid-July, thus signalling MLB's All-Star Break. Heading into the break, we see an all-too-familiar snapshot of the AL East Division standings. Red Sox and Yankees 1-2, Rays 3rd, Jays 4th and the hapless Orioles 5th/last. The Jays enter the break with a 45-47 record after reeling off three straight against the Indians. In fact, they should be .500 (46-46) had they swept the Indians as they should have after blowing a comfortable 4-0 lead in the first game of the series.

Actually, if you dig deeper, the team many thought would be hard-pressed to win 70 games this year should in fact be well above .500 and consequently right in the mix with the division's "heavy hitters". How so? Well, out of the 47 losses, 28% have come off of blown saves! 28%!!!!! That works out to 13 losses (in total, 15 games have been blown, signalling the Jays' inability to muster up that killer instinct that's been sorely lacking almost two decades now). Had even half of those games been nailed down as they should have, they'd be only a handful of games out. To note, at the beginning of June the Jays were 3.5 games out of the division lead. Today, 11.

So wherein lies the problem?

- Frank "I put the F in F U" Francisco has not come as advertised. He's conjuring up images of a limp-armed B.J. Ryan and his penchant to allow the opposing team to get right back in it.



- Jon Rauch has had his moments. Some days he's throwing darts, the next it's balls on a 'T'. I can't help but wonder ever since the first pitch I saw him throw as a Blue Jay -- how in the world does the tallest pitcher/player in MLB history throw no harder than 90 MPH?! I was expecting a flame-thrower. Those tattoos...that stare in picking up the signs...that behemoth presence -- all for naught.

- Jason Frasor -- yeah, he just doesn't do it for me. He's as unstable and scary to watch as Brandon League was *shudder*.

- Marc Rzepczynski is being groomed as Scott Downs lite, and he's better suited as a shut-down/set-up guy. Won't fault him, but he's not the solution.

What the Jays, and Alex Anthopoulos, need to do is find a closer. That should be the first priority in all honestly. Imagine having a Rivera/Papelbon/K-Rod-type closer who you know will pretty much nail it down for you? As stated, the Jays would be right in the thick of things if that were the case. They haven't had anything automatic since Duane Ward and Tom Henke back in the World Series days. We've seen a guy like Billy Koch come out like a gangbuster only to fizzle out a short while later. B.J. Ryan I have no clue how he didn't get hit around harder. And most recently, Kevin Gregg seems to have left some of his aura behind.

Ideally, if Dustin McGowan is ever able to battle back from the long road of recovery, he may fill that need. But that's a lot to expect from a guy who has been through a lot in the last few years. The fact he may ever pitch in a big league situation again is a feat in itself. But if, and that's a huge if, he can come back, he could take the job and run with it. Other than that, the team either has to go the trade route (Heath Bell from San Diego?) or groom one. I know it's not something teams look for at the draft, but perhaps taking a flier on a guy in a later round who you think can be tailored as a closer is something that should be considered. I know, it's like an NHL team drafting a guy to become its 3rd line checking centre, but it's a position that may end up being just as important in the long run.

After all, how many more games (and ultimately seasons) can be pissed away before saving those who save?

Friday, July 8, 2011

Who are these wrestlers?

I was flipping through the channels today and I came across WWE Smackdown. I've been out of the loop for awhile, so I have no idea who is the champ or what the story lines are. This just led me to think...how good was wrestling 10-20 years ago?

Who can forget Hogan vs The Ultimate Warrior at the Skydome? The crowd was electric as the Warrior Gorilla-slammed the Hulkster. Or how about years earlier when The Hulkster body-slammed Andre the Giant? The 80's also brought forth some of the most creative characters like The Macho Man, Ricky the Dragon Steamboat, Jake the Snake Roberts...and even the Brooklyn Brawler, the lovable wrestler who always lost on Saturday morning wrestling.

The 90's was where my interest really peaked. That was the WWF Attitude Era. Not even now, have I seen the charisma and entertainment value that Stone Cold and definitely The Rock displayed week after week. I remember attending a live event in Toronto, the lights went dim, then all of a sudden we heard..."If ya smelllllll, what The Rock, is cooking!". That's one of the few times that I leapt out of my seat at the ACC (and this includes Raptor games). A couple of weeks ago, I even played an old PS2 game (Smackdown vs RAW 2006) and playing as the Rock was so fun. The People's Elbow! The Rock Bottom! Wrestling in the 90's was a good time. This isn't even mentioning the legend Bret Hart, the always entertaining DX and the still jaw-dropping TLC matches from The Dudleys/Hardy Boyz/Edge & Christian.

The 90's were also home to WCW and who can forget the nWo? Their storylines were so unique at the time and drew everyone in. This also led to the transformation of Sting, who I still think was one of the coolest characters there.

But alas, wrestling started to go downhill, at least to me it did. I'm not sure if it was because I grew older or that the entertainment value just wasn't there anymore. Well, wherever wrestling goes in the future, we'll always have the past to reminisce. Check out YouTube for a quick fix of classic wrestling; maybe Rock vs Hogan at Wrestlemania? Or the aforementioned TLC matches? Or how about Bob Bauckland mentally snapping and pulling the Chicken-Wing on unsuspecting foes? Ah wrestling, fun times.

Home Run Derby will be fun, but Weeks and Cano?

Every year I look forward to the MLB Home Run Derby.  I won't soon forget the memory of Mark McGwire in 1999 hitting bomb after bomb out of Fenway Park.  That year the contestants were announced by none other than Michael Buffer; how awesome is that?  Watching the game's most feared power hitters tee off in an attempt to hit as many impressive home runs as possible is something that really entertains me, even if the snooty observer labels fans such as myself "unsophisticated idiots".

The 2011 Home Run Derby in Arizona will feature a somewhat impressive cast, but with some disappointments as always seems to be the case.  Seemingly every year, there are two or three guys there who don't belong; guys who just don't have the natural power to compete in a contest like this.  In 1999 it was Nomar Garciaparra - at least he was there to satisfy the home town fans.

The contestants are:

Captain "Big Papi" David Ortiz - The Alex Ovechkin of the derby; he will always be a pleasure to watch, as you know he will be ready with some comical antics that will surely include pretending to be amazed by his opponents homers as he does year after year, and if he makes it to the finals he will surely come out and interrupt his opponent to offer him a drink and towel him off.  Funny stuff.  As far as home run hitting goes, word on the street is that Ortiz is having lunch with Brian McNamee on Monday; hopefully we will see some results of that with some mammoth dingers.  He did win the contest last year.

Adrian Gonzalez - This guy is a really good hitter, who can hit for power, and drive in a ton of runs.  Almost like a Rafael Palmeiro type, he's got a great swing but is not really a guy who hits tape measure home runs.  Hopefully he can share another thing in common with Rafael Palmeiro and Big Papi can bring him some "left overs" to give him a little more pop come Monday evening.

Jose Bautista - This is what I can't wait to see.  Arizona is a great home run hitting park, and "Joey Bats" can crush a pitch like nobody else.  If he doesn't make it to the finals I will be seriously disappointed.  Oh and I'm not even going to make a joke about steroids in this paragraph.

Robinson Cano - Come on.  This guy is a great hitter.  An amazing hitter.  But not a home run hitter.  Sure he can hit homers in Yankee Stadium, but so can I.  I could hit a ball into the upper deck of Yankee Stadium from here and I live in Toronto.  Seriously the guy is on pace for less than 30 home runs playing in the easiest stadium in the league to hit bombs.  The guy is a hitting machine, but doesn't belong in the home run derby.

Captain "The artist formerly known as" Prince Fielder - Any guy this "big" will be fun to watch.  Heck, any guy named Prince will be fun to watch, regardless of what he's doing.  The only substances this guy needs to help him crush baseballs are cheeseburgers and milkshakes.
Rickie Weeks - What the hell?  The guy is having a fantastic year the one year I didn't draft him in my fantasy league, but again, he's not a guy who's going to succeed in a home run derby.  There's a difference in a guy like this who can jump on a first pitch fastball where the pitcher supplies all the power, and a real power hitter.  I will just be happy if he manages to make it through this experience without hurting himself.

Matt Holliday - Another guy who is a great hitter, but seems to disappoint in these competitions.  Still, I'd rather watch him than Cano or Weeks.  He'll struggle to make it to the 2nd round.

Matt Kemp - I have no problem with him being here.  If for no other reason than he is one of the top 5-tool players in the league.  He may not get more than 4 home runs tops, but he deserves the shot.

So that's the field for the 2011 Home Run Derby.  Obviously, my hope is for all the big guns (Bautista, Ortiz, Fielder, Gonzalez) to fare well, because I really don't expect much from the other four.  Regardless, for us "unsophisticated idiot" fans who love to watch dingers, it promises to be a fun night no matter what happens.  Unless McNamee doesn't show up for lunch.

Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Why MLB Needs to Eliminate Human Umpires

Firstly, a disclaimer: if you are such a closed-minded traditionalist that you would prefer to see a game decided by an umpire’s blown call rather than a fair, consistent, undisputable outcome to Major League Baseball games (for a change), then please read no further.  Such traditionalists are surely disillusioned by the following rule changes which have already been made by MLB:

-Prior to 1857, games were not 9 innings, but ended when the winning team scored “21 aces”.  What a change that surely has many purists seething!
-Before 1858 there were no called strikes.  The purists must hate the faster pace of the game!
-In 1880 a walk was 8 balls – even Kyle Drabek could have kept his walks down
-Prior to 1887 a batter could request a “high or low” pitch – baseball in its purist form!
-Prior to 1893, one side of a hitter’s bat could be flat – I can’t believe they went back to round bats. (from majorleagueblogging.com)

This article is for the rest of us, who want to see baseball played “the right way” and games decided in a fair manner, regardless of the reputations of star players, teams playing, or the location of the game.

How many times are we watching a baseball game, and a pitch that is well off the plate is called a strike, or a pitch which should obviously be a strike is called a ball?  It happens every single game.  What the casual fan may not realize is the consequence each of these “little mistakes” can carry with it.  A 2-0 count in most cases leads to a fastball that the batter is expecting and can tee-off on.  Conversely, being behind in the count puts a hitter in a defensive mind set; reducing the chances of him driving the ball.  We may see on the highlight shows a clip of an upper deck grand slam that wins a game, but very seldomly is any attention paid to the count - the situation which led to the home run - which is heavily influenced by the individual pitch calls made by human umpires.

Now let’s slow down for a minute and talk about a subject that really annoys me.  When Derek Jeter or Bobby Abreu are batting, doesn’t it always seem that they get the benefit of a generous call from the home plate umpire?  Jeter does his little “jump out of the way” on a pitch easily over the plate and because of that and his reputation the ball is “inside”.  When I was at the game on Saturday, Roy Halladay was getting strike calls on pitches 8 inches outside.  Conversely in the ninth inning of a one-run game, full count situation with two outs, Jon Rauch throws a change up down the heart of the plate that even Leslie Nielson in The Naked Gun would have called a strike.  Well, this one was called a ball, and an RBI single, a confrontation, and a torn shirt later, the Phillies have a two run lead and Rauch is ejected (see photo).  As a Blue Jays fan, it is particularly hard to take, as virtually no visit to Fenway Park or Yankee Stadium ends without an obvious, game-deciding botched call in the favour of the home team.  Are the umpires trying to screw up like this?  Are they intimidated by their surroundings?  Are they corrupt?  Or are they just not good enough at their jobs?  I don’t know the answers to these questions.
Lets give the umpires the benefit of the doubt and assume that they are trying their best and just make mistakes.  If we estimate that 250 pitches are thrown in a game, it’s impossible for a human to get them all right.  Yet the mistakes can and often do change the outcome of the game.  As I write, Jose Bautista just got called out on a knuckle ball clearly outside with a runner in scoring position and two outs.  Who knows what would have happened had the umpire got it right?

This stuff really bugs me because I love to see a good competition.  I want to see who can win a match-up between pitcher and hitter, with all things being fair.  I want to see who’s going to win a baseball game when both teams have equal opportunity, without one team being granted an extra out to work with in an inning or an out taken away from them like was Bautista’s case in the preceding paragraph.

So where do we start?  What is the best way to allow for the game of baseball to be officiated more fairly?  We need to start with the strike zone.  Technology is being used on virtually all television stations to show “whether the umpire got it right” – a rectangular box displayed at the point the ball crosses home plate (called K-Zone, Pitch Trax, among other things).  When a borderline pitch is tested on Pitch Trax against the umpires call, the umpire gets it wrong about half the time.  This is human error that a computer would not be susceptible to making.  Major League Baseball should replace home plate umpires with Pitch Trax computers immediately to remove the unpredictability, inconsistency, and unfairness associated with the frequent mistakes on balls and strikes currently being made every day by human umpires.

The next step is improving the calls on close plays at home plate or second base when a steal takes place.  It seems the umpires just take a random guess most of the time about whether the runner is safe or out.  The technology of today may not be sophisticated enough to automatically make accurate rulings in situations such as this, but I am hopeful that it will be in the near future.  In the mean time might I suggest it would be prudent for MLB to hire younger umpires, who are in good physical condition, so that at least they can get into proper position to make calls rather than a lot of the current umpires who are not “physically equipped” to do anything but waddle around and make bad calls.

At the end of the day, I sympathize with the traditionalists out there.  When it comes to hockey, I am the last one who wants to see some of the proposed rule changes such as larger nets to increase scoring, or 4-on-4 overtime in the playoffs.  But when it comes to something like replacing umpires in baseball with computers, I would much rather throw tradition out the window if it will mean a more equal, fair, and better product.